Tuesday, March 08, 2005

Champions League. 2nd Round. 2nd Leg

Another week of CL has begun. Great match line-ups.

Wednesday wee hrs,
AC MILAN vs MAN U
CHELSEA vs BARCELONA
LYON vs WERDER BREMEN (aka "Wonder Woman")

Thursday wee hrs,
ARSENAL vs BAYERN MUNICH
JUVENTUS vs REAL MADRID
LEVERKUSEN vs LIVERPOOL
MONACO vs PSV

Just for tonight,

AC MILAN vs MAN U
The Red Devils are in deficit of a goal while at home and now, have to go to San Siro and needs minimum of win to ensure CL play-on. Italian teams are very strong at home, especially Italian giant, AC Milan and Jtus. This is no mean feat. Man Utd seems to be hiccupping a bit over the weak weekend, drawing 0-0 away to Crystal Palace. Ruud Van Nisterooy has a good record for scoring in Europe games and since his return last week, has been quiet. Man Utd also has a good track record for pushing miracle and I see tonight as one of them. Man Utd has good built-up play but not very good finishing. The Wings are usually healthy, crosses tend to come in but they tend to lack finishing and creativity at times. AC Milan is a very solid-team. Very well-balanced and in fact, this 2nd-leg at home after one goal advantage, I can see them in the semi-finals of CL at least. I would side AC Milan to not lose this match, but they might not win, they do not need to. A draw is a good bet.

CHELSEA vs BARCA
Chelsea is unbeaten at home this season. Barca has not generally roar in England.
Barcelona has visited English clubs 22 times in Europe, only winning 4. They are unbeaten in their last 5 visits. Last 5 visits...thats a good record but all good things must come to an end. They have to be beaten this time round.

LYON vs WERDER BREMEN
Bookmakers are very confident that W.Bremen will not lose this match. W.Bremen played very well during the first leg, yet they lost 3-0 to a Lyon which took its chances well. Considering that this is their away round, W.Bremen needs a miracle to even draw the previous aggregate. Lyon just came out of a bad run, losing away to lowly Caen 1-0 over the weekend. Perhaps they were trying to preserve strength for this CL match. W.Bremen will definitely play offensive to stand a chance of qualification. However, we must not forget that German teams are generally stronger at home, not so impressive away. While it is a good choice to back Werder Bremen not to lose the game, which everyone will be going for. Expect the unexpected, that Lyon would absorb the attack and hit an early one or two goals to kill off the German's CL dreams.

My guesses:
Man U +1/4
Chelsea -1/2
Lyon -1/2

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